Thursday, 11 December 2025

COUNCIL BY-ELECTIONS 11.12.25


Nine seats were up for grabs on Thursday, with Labour on the defence in two.  As we predicted, they lost both seats.  In Darlington we saw either the Tories or Reform making the gain, with the SNP the likely winner in West Lothian.  Reform actually took both seats as newcomers, including a groundbreaking victory north of the border in which they took their first Scottish council seat.

Labour were pushed to fourth in Darlington, with more than half the votes cast for Reform.  Labour slid to a distant third in West Lothian, with Reform and the SNP way out in front.  Apparently, the SNP fielded a 'non-binary' candidate in this election, which probably helped Reform no end.  It was a bad night for the SNP, as they fell to the Lib Dems in the other Scottish seat.

It was another crushing set of results for Labour, whose vote tally ducked down into double digits in three seats.  They finished last in four seats and could not finish any higher than third place anywhere.

It wasn't a great night for the Tories either, who lost two of the four seats they were defending.  They slumped to third in Devon and missed out on a hold by just ten votes in Lincolnshire.  Reform were the victors in the latter, also gaining another seat on the same council by an even slimmer margin of two votes.  A win's a win, and with four gains on the night there is no doubt which party will be the happiest.

Penyrheol, Caerphilly County Borough Council

Pld: 956 (60.1%) +6.3%
Ref: 422 (26.5%) New
Lab: 114 (7.2%) -24.4%
Con: 66 (4.3%) -10.4%
LDm: 32 (2.0%) New

Pld HOLD

Red Hall & Lingfield, Darlington Borough Council

Ref: 341 (37.7%) New
Con: 157 (17.3%) -22.5%
LDm: 157 (17.3%) New
Lab: 152 (16.8%) -37.1%
Grn: 89 (9.8%) +3.6%
Ind: 9 (1.0%) New

Ref GAIN from Lab

Seaton, East Devon District Council

LDm: 789 (41.3%) +19.2%
Ref: 565 (29.6%) New
Con: 400 (20.9%) -5.6%
Ind: 156 (8.2%) New

LDm GAIN from Con

Fort William & Ardnamurchan, Highland Council

(first preference votes)

LDm: 925 (40.4%) +3.0%
SNP: 665 (29.1%) -4.4%
Ref: 220 (9.6%) New
Grn: 216 (9.4%) -0.2%
Con: 175 (7.6%) -2.4%
Lab: 87 (3.8%) New

LDm GAIN from SNP (elected at stage 5)

Armitage with Handsacre, Lichfield District Council

Con: 630 (46.7%) -6.2%
Ref: 431 (31.9%) New
Lab: 127 (9.4%) -23.5%
LDm: 99 (7.3%) -6.8%
Grn: 63 (4.7%) New

Con HOLD

Belmont, South Kesteven District Council

Ref: 239 (33.4%) New
Con: 237 (33.1%) +1.5%
Ind: 143 (20.0%) New
Grn: 61 (8.5%) New
Lab: 35 (4.9%) -14.5%

Ref GAIN from Ind

Aveland, South Kesteven District Council

Ref: 290 (41.0%) +26.5%
Con: 280 (39.5%) +19.0%
Grn: 115 (16.2%) New
Lab: 23 (3.2%) New

Ref GAIN from Con

Eaglescliffe West, Stockton-on-Tees Borough Council

Con: 1,194 (60.9%) +4.4%
Ref: 470 (24.0%) +17.6%
Grn: 150 (7.6%) -0.2%
Lab: 147 (7.5%) -21.7%

Con HOLD

Whitburn & Blackburn, West Lothian Council

(first preference votes)

Ref: 1,177 (32.0%) New
SNP: 1,028 (28.0%) -10.7%
Lab: 627 (17.1%) -20.3%
Ind: 484 (13.2%) New
Con 129 (3.5%) -15.0%
LDm: 102 (2.8%) +0.4%
Grn: 101 (2.7%) -0.3%
Ind: 27 (0.7%) New

Ref GAIN from Lab (elected at stage 8)

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