Election day is almost here and it's set to unleash a killer blow for our embattled PM. Starmer's premiership has been a slow motion disaster of self-inflicted wounds, but it will be over soon - unfortunately. Why do we say that? Because Starmer is so toxic, the longer he stays on the more damage he does to his despicable party. Yes, the country suffers too, but we must endure hard times in order to survive, grow and prosper as a nation. In other words, the potential death of the Labour party is worth short-term pain if it means we can one day reverse the long-term damage the Uniparty has done.
Starmer is doing such a marvellous job of ensuring the death of the Uniparty system, but his own political demise is now inevitable. Thursday's elections will deliver quite possibly the worst results that Labour has experienced in its entire history.
This is how we see it going down...
Where all council seats are up for election, Labour will lose control of every single one of its councils outside London. Many of these will slip into no overall control as Reform, the Greens, Lib Dems and independents all hammer Labour. Labour will also lose control of many of the local authorities where only a third of seats are up for election.
The party is defending 2,196 council seats going into these local elections and we expect them to lose as many as two thousand of them and emerge with closer to 150 council seats or even less. This will lead to some messy arrangements, with Greens and Muslim independents likely to emerge as significant players on local authorities in the mill towns, east London and Birmingham. We look forward to seeing how they cope with filling in potholes and emptying bins after they campaigned on a platform of defending a quasi-state thousands of miles away in the Middle East.
Labour will also lose control of Wales for the first time in the 27 year history of the Welsh Assembly. It's not clear who will emerge as the largest party, but it will be either Reform UK or Plaid Cymru. Most pollsters have Plaid narrowly ahead or tied, while Survation recently gave Reform a narrow lead. The way that the Senedd is set up makes it almost impossible for a single party to govern effectively and with a close result expected there are likely to be cross-party deals made. With the Tories facing near wipeout, Reform don't have many options available to them. The most likely scenario is Plaid will enter into some kind of arrangement with either Labour or the Greens (or both, if their combined numbers are required for a voting majority).
In Scotland the separatist status quo will remain rooted in Holyrood, largely thanks to the collapse in Labour's popularity across Great Britain as a whole. All eyes will be on how few seats Labour win in Scotland and whether they will be pushed into third by Reform. This will be another crushing blow, but it won't be quite as bad as we had previously suggested. The Greens are experiencing a bit of a poll slide north of the border and it looks unlikely they will overtake Labour as the main leftist opposition to the leftist government. It looks like Labour won't crash to fourth in either Wales or Scotland, but third place in both would be devastating regardless.
Disastrous results in England, Wales and Scotland will be the knock out blow to Starmer.
It's hard to predict what our robotic PM will do in the wake of such a colossal electoral disaster, but one of two things will happen and both will result in his resignation.
Firstly, he simply resigns on Friday. This probably won't happen first thing on Friday, as votes in Scotland and Wales aren't being counted until Friday morning. The full scale of the disaster will be clear to him by lunch-time.
The second - and possibly more likely scenario - is that he is forced out by a series of resignations and almost total loss of support in the PLP (Parliamentary Labour Party). Who will lead the resignations is not clear, as it is not necessarily the challenger who takes the lead. Streeting may wait for a stalking horse or already have one lined up. If none take the plunge, then he may be forced to do so himself - which is always a risky business if no-one follows suit. However, once it is abundantly clear to MPs that their places on the Westminster gravy train are under severe threat, they will turn on Starmer very quickly indeed.
There was a slogan doing the rounds ahead of the 2017 general election about making June 'the end of May'. It didn't quite work out that way, but we're pretty confident that May will be the end of Starmer.
