Thursday, 30 April 2026

COUNCIL BY-ELECTION 30.04.26


The single council seat up for grabs on Thursday is the last by-election before next week's huge round of elections.  This is an intriguing ward that could go one of three ways.  They like their independents in this part of Worcestershire, but there is no independent standing this time around and that is going to leave a lot of votes up for grabs.  It is likely that the Greens and Reform will largely benefit, and with Reform eating into the Tory vote there is a possibility that Polanski's crazy gang could sneak through the middle for a cheeky gain.  The Greens already have council seats in Malvern, but they have selected a trans candidate here, so that is likely to rile up conservative-minded voters.  We'll plump for a Reform gain.

The count takes place on Friday morning.

Tenbury, Malvern Hills District Council

(Con defence)

We won't be doing any major set of predictions for next week, the elections are so numerous that we just won't have the time.  A short preview will appear in the next few days.  All we can say for now is that Labour are not simply going to get thumped, they are going to experience their worst local election results in history.

Going forward, our hit and miss predictions are going to change in format.  Instead of us having to hold a discussion each week - in which we don't always agree on the outcome - we will simply submit our own individual forecasts and essentially go head-to-head.  Then you will see once and for all who is the most politically astute!

Wednesday, 29 April 2026

SILENCE SPEAKS VOLUMES

Roman Lavrynovych, Stanislav Copiuc and Petro Pochynok

On Monday morning in Court 2 at the Old Bailey, the criminal trial of three young foreign men got underway with the formalities of swearing the jury in, case management and so on.  However, this was no ordinary trial.  By now it should be the most talked about trial of all time, but instead most British people don't even know that the trial is even taking place at all.

Ahead of the trial of the three Ukrainians (one a Romanian national born in the Ukraine), social media was awash with claims of a 'super injunction' that would restrict media reporting on the case.  No evidence was provided for such a claim.  Then, as proceedings commenced, an image began circulating that appeared to show a court document suggesting that reporting restrictions were in place.  However, this was contradicted by citizen journalists who had attended court that day and said that no reporting restrictions were in place.  VoxPopuli debunked the claim on X.

However, it was clear by lunchtime on Monday that something significant had happened with regards to media coverage of the trial - or complete lack of it - not a single newspaper article and no mention of it in any news broadcast or online report from any major news outlet.  The mainstream media blackout continued into Tuesday and has only slightly relented on Wednesday, as the prosecution begin to lay out their case.  Sky News is now covering the trial live on its website.  At the time of writing, there remains very little coverage elsewhere.

So if there were no reporting restrictions and no 'super injunction', then why the silence?  The alternative explanation is the submission of a 'DSMA-Notice'.  DSMA-Notices (more widely known as D-Notices) are issued to media outlets in confidentiality, usually on the understanding that national security is at risk if the request is not adhered to.  DSMA stands for Defence and Security Media Advisory.  These requests are not legally binding and the final decision on compliance lies with editors.

With the prosecution case now under way, have some editors decided to override the D-Notice now that the juicy details of the case are emerging?  Will this lead to a flood of defiance from other news outlets?  At the time of writing there is still zero coverage from the BBC, ITV and Channel 4.

It's all very odd.  Equally strange is the silence from opposition politicians.  MPs have been debating about whether to hold an inquiry into the Mandelson affair and PMQs has now been and gone without a single reference to the trial, despite this huge elephant providing no end of awkward questions for Starmer.

Whatever's happened, it is clear that the state believes that a colossal cover-up of the trial will shield the PM in what is already a deeply difficult period for him.  However, the imposition of mass silence only seems to confirm that Starmer has something to hide, something potentially very seedy indeed.  Naturally, any restriction of information will only lead to more questions.

Silence speaks volumes.

Tuesday, 28 April 2026

TOON TUESDAY #100

We return after a short break, with our 100th edition of Toon Tuesday.  As it's such a milestone, we've selected some of our favourite toons from the last 99 editions.

Christian Adams (Telegraph) 19 February 2026
If there's one thing that Starmer is good at, it's u-turns.  Sometimes he u-turns on
the u-turns and it all gets terribly confusing.
Ben Jennings (Guardian) 12 February 2026
Back in the 1990s John Major was depicted as a grey-faced dullard.  Starmer is
so dull he would make Gordon Brown look like the life and soul of any party.
Ella Baron (Guardian) 11 February 2026
The Last Supper or the assassination of Julius Caesar?  The vultures smell blood,
but who will be the Judas Iscariot or Casca among this treacherous lot?
Patrick Blower (Daily Telegraph) 7 January 2026
As Starmer and his band of traitors attempt to shrink our strategic territories and
influence, others seek to expand.  Perfectly illustrated here.
Andy Davey (Telegraph) 2 January 2026
May is just around the corner now and it looks set to be the end of Starmer.
Andy Davey (Telegraph) 14 November 2025
The economic expertise of Red Rachel depicted perfectly.
Tom Stiglich (X) 12 November 2025
From the home of CNN, this American cartoon speaks volumes of how the Beeb
is seen Stateside.  Worse than CNN though?
Peter Brookes (Times) 27 October 2025
Two time losing leadership candidate Andy Burnham has many faces and he
desperately wants to make it third time lucky.  Not going to be.
Christian Adams (Daily Telegraph) 28 September 2025
Labour were in Liverpool for their party conference yet again, cue Beatles
reference.
Morten Morland (Times) 23 September 2025
Political start-ups will one day look to Fruit and Nut as the quintessential
lesson in how NOT to start a party.  Corbyn's lesson will be thus - don't bank on a
youthful admirer as a reliable co-founder.
Dave Brown (Independent) 11 September 2025
The Mandelson affair has been rumbling on for months, but the bigger story
dates back decades and there is simply no way the PM and his cronies didn't
know about it.
Ivan Ehlers (Instagram) 27 July 2025
Police raids over social media posts is a prime example of how far
the state has sunk into authoritarianism.  It's only going to get worse
if we allow them to impose a digital ID.
Peter Brookes (The Times) 14 July 2025
Outstanding satire, just not sure about the depiction of Ed Miliband here
(looks more like Bibi Netanyahu).  Perhaps Brookes should stick to his famous
depictions of Ed as Wallace from Wallace and Gromit.
Dave Simonds (Instagram) 29 June 2025
The flat-pack PM probably has more charisma than the real thing, too!
Jimbob (X) 18 April 2025
US conservative Jimbob may not be the best technical artist, but his cartoons
sure do pack a punch.
Dave Brown (Independent) 28 March 2025
Their snouts were deep in the trough almost as soon as Starmer and Reeves got
into power.  Nice touch with the red box acting as her purse.
George Alexopoulos (Instagram) 4 March 2025
The great replacement is a 'conspiracy theory' we are told by our globalist masters,
despite all the evidence of our own eyes to the contrary.  Thankfully, the
sabre-rattling scare tactics of the warmongers hasn't come to much, yet.
Matt Pritchett (Sunday Telegraph) 23 February 2025
We couldn't make a compilation without any input from Matt and narrowing it
down to this one entry was mighty difficult.
Graeme Bandeira (Northern Agenda) 21 February 2025
Wallace and Gromit meet the economic shortcomings of Red Rachel.
Patrick Blower (Daily Telegraph) 27 January 2025
An excellent depiction of how economic growth and net zero are diametrically
opposed.  Of course we all know that Western governments will always opt for net
zero over prosperity.
Patrick Blower (Telegraph) 25 November 2024
Blower revisited this concept recently with an Iranian version, but this original
Russian version hit the spot just fine.
Patrick Blower (Telegraph) 2 October 2024
The party of the workers no more!

Monday, 27 April 2026

MEME MONDAY #80

Keir Starmer was very much the focus of the output last week and looks set to remain so as the clock ticks down to his inevitable demise as PM.  The rent boy trial begins today, albeit with a total news blackout that only proves that our suspicions were right all along.  Starmer is a wrong 'un and he's going to pay a very big price after his party's May 7th disaster unfolds...

Mon 20 Apr - 647 shares
Wed 22 Apr - 192 shares
Thu 23 Apr - 352 shares
Thu 23 Apr - 21 shares
Fri 23 Apr - 77 shares
Fri 24 Apr - 26 shares
Sat 25 Apr - 25 shares
Sun 26 Apr - 47 shares

Four Facebook Stories were published last week, with more Green degenerates to follow this week...



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Sunday, 26 April 2026

BOATWATCH #56

The busiest week of the year was followed last week by one of the quietest, with just two boats being picked up all week - both on Saturday.  More than 6,000 colonists have been ferried to our shores so far this year.


Total = 122 (down 819 from previous week)

Wednesday, 22 April 2026

COUNCIL BY-ELECTIONS 23.04.26


Just the one by-election took place on Thursday, with another having been held on Wednesday.  Reform were defending Thursday's vacancy, the third week in a row they have been on the defence.  However, this time it is not a resignation - the incumbent tragically died from a brain tumour at the age of just 46.  The late Cllr Kevin Towill defected from the Conservatives prior to last year's local elections and gained the seat at the expense of his old party, who were pushed into third.

We expected a Reform hold here, but there was a surprisingly strong challenge from the Greens who came from nowhere to claim second place with almost a quarter of the vote.  Labour should be as deeply concerned about the rise of the Greens to their left as they are about Reform to their right.  With both insurgent parties set to pincer Labour in May, there is every likelihood that the Greens will win more council seats than Labour and - more worryingly for Labour - there is an outside chance Polanski's crazy gang could push Labour into fourth in both the Senedd and the Scottish Parliament.

We are currently witnessing the final weeks of Starmer's premiership, with a resignation likely in May.  If the scale of the electoral disaster is such, he will resign the morning after.  If he opts to cling on a wee bit longer, he will be forced out by cabinet resignations and a total collapse in PLP support.  Labour MPs and potential successors are now merely counting down the days.

Newquay Porth & Tretherras, Cornwall Council

Ref: 645 (30.2%) -7.7%
Grn: 529 (24.8%) New
Ind: 361 (16.9%) New
LDm: 349 (16.3%) -9.9%
Con: 132 (6.2%) -14.6%
Lab: 120 (5.6%) -9.6%

Ref HOLD

Wednesday's by-election was also triggered by the death of an incumbent, the 81-year-old Labour councillor having passed away due to old age.  This was an exceptionally strong Labour ward, with the party having won here in 2024 by more than 1,200 votes.  Despite this, we predicted a Green gain, but defeat to anyone here would have been indicative of the massive scale of Labour's looming electoral disaster in May.  Labour have controlled Salford since its inception as a metropolitan borough in 1974.

As it turned out, this previously solid left-wing ward opted for Reform with a huge swing from Labour.  We predicted that Labour would haemorrhage votes to both the Greens and Reform, but the swing was almost exclusively towards Reform.  The Greens slumped from second to third and ended up with less votes than they received in 2024, while a hard left independent endorsed by Your Party finished last.  The Greens only increased their vote share courtesy of Labour's almost 30 point dip against a low turnout.

This was a devastating result for Labour, but another first for Reform as they added their first Salford council seat.

Barton & Winton, Salford City Council

Ref: 676 (34.9%) New
Lab: 643 (33.2%) -29.1%
Grn: 363 (18.7%) +4.0%
Con: 118 (6.1%) -8.2%
LDm: 94 (4.9%) -3.8%
Ind: 44 (2.3%) New

Ref GAIN from Lab

There is now just one more council by-election before the May elections.

Tuesday, 21 April 2026

EJECTED FROM THE HOUSE OF LIES

Zarah Sultana and Lee Anderson would normally hold each other in the utmost of contempt, but on Monday the Commons watched as both of them were removed from the chamber for accusing the PM of lying.  It's a rare occasion in itself for one MP to be ordered out, but one after the other in the same sitting is almost unheard of.

MPs were responding to a statement from Keir Starmer in relation to the Mandelson scandal, in which he pointed the finger of blame at the Foreign Office and continued to deny any wrongdoing.  Reform's Lee Anderson told the PM that 'no-one believed him' and accused him of 'lying'.  Starmer stood hesitantly, while looking towards the Speaker, but Lindsay Hoyle was slow to react.  Eventually, Lindsay Hoyle interjected and told Anderson that 'we don't use those words' and asked him to withdraw his accusation.  In true Anderson style, the Ashfield MP doubled down and refused, adding: "That man couldn't lie straight in bed".

The Speaker then ordered Anderson out of the chamber.  Watch the exchange below.


A short while later the chamber was treated to the juvenile screeching of Your Party's Zarah Sultana.  Sultana's prepared statement accused Starmer of 'gaslighting the nation', before she accused him of being a 'bare-faced liar'.  She appeared to be about to demand his resignation when her microphone was cut and the Speaker interrupted.  On this occasion Hoyle was clearly upset and immediately demanded her departure.  With her microphone cut, her protestations about 'serving the interests of her constituents' was barely audible, but did nothing to placate Hoyle's ire.

Hoyle gave her multiple opportunities to comply, but like Anderson she doubled down and could be heard saying: "The Prime Minister is a liar".  However, whereas Anderson duly left the chamber, Sultana's repeated refusal led to her being 'named' by the Speaker.  This process means that Sultana is now suspended from the Commons for a period of several days (usually five), during which her salary is also put on hold.

As her statement appeared to be written in advance, this was probably a pre-conceived publicity stunt that Anderson had unwittingly usurped by being ejected first.  Whether or not she had initially intended to push the Speaker so far is not clear, but with Anderson having left in such a dignified manner, she may have wished to up the ante for maximum attention.

Watch the exchange below.


It never ceases to amaze how such a setting - frequented by hundreds of professional liars - can have such a process in place that punishes those who accuse colleagues of lying!

Monday, 20 April 2026

MEME MONDAY #79

It was a fairly quiet week for Karl, but things will pick up again soon.  The demise of Keir Starmer's premiership draws ever closer and Karl may well want to dispose of as many Starmer memes as possible.

Mon 13 Apr - 51 shares
Mon 13 Apr - 231 shares
Tue 14 Apr - 65 shares
Tue 14 Apr - 446 shares
Wed 15 Apr - 15 shares
Wed 15 Apr - 14 shares
Fri 17 Apr - 17 shares
Sun 19 Apr - 24 shares

Five Facebook Stories were unleashed last week, including the first in a new series that will showcase the most absurd Green candidates yet.




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