This week we had just one solitary by-election, a notional Reform defence in Kent. The incumbent left office as an independent, having been disqualified after pleading guilty to controlling and coercive behaviour (towards his wife). Cllr Daniel Taylor was arrested and charged just a month after being elected and was promptly suspended by Reform. He was jailed for a year last month.
This will be the first council by-election since Reform took control of Kent in May and challengers will be seeking to turn it into a damaging referendum on their administration. Reform were miles ahead of second-placed Labour in this ward last May, but that was before anyone had a chance to see what a Reform council would look like. Things haven't exactly gone smoothly, which is perhaps no great surprise for a party whose rapid electoral success has outpaced its ability to organise itself. The chaos in the council house, combined with the nature of the incumbent's dismissal, suggests that Reform will struggle in this by-election.
The Greens thought they could stage an unlikely gain here and bussed in activists, with even Zack Polanski hitting the campaign trail earlier this week. They would require an exceptionally strong swing in a ward that is not traditionally left-oriented, having finished a distant fourth last May. We fancied a Conservative gain, with the Greens overtaking Labour. As it turned out, the Greens overtook everybody in what turned out to be a shock result. The swing to the Greens mostly came at the expense of Labour, who slumped to fourth from second. Not a terrible result for Reform, considering the background, but a result that the Greens will be crowing about for the next week.
Cliftonville, Kent County Council
Grn: 2,068 (38.8%) +26.7%
Ref: 1,767 (33.1%) -7.0%
Con: 811 (15.2%) -4.5%
Lab: 557 (10.4%) -11.6%
Ind: 68 (1.3%) New
LDm: 63 (1.2%) -1.9%
Grn GAIN from Ref


























































