Six council seats were filled on Thursday, with three Labour defences, a Reform defence and two free-for-alls. Restore Britain stood across all six vacancies, a first for them.
Overall, Burnham will be very happy with Labour's electoral progress, certainly judging by these results. While they lost two seats to Reform, the party's vote share increased by double digits in all but two of the seats and there was a bizarre situation in Lancashire, where the Labour candidate was suspended during the campaign and still won the seat without campaigning.
Conversely, Reform's vote share was down in all but one of the seats. They still managed three gains (and one defeat), even with the presence of Restore Britain candidates, but the downward trajectory of their polling will be of more concern to Nigel Farage. Based on these results, it's difficult to see anything other than a Labour majority at the next election, albeit dramatically reduced from 2024. Will Burnham plump for an early election or take advantage of Starmer's big majority all the way to 2029?
Huncoat, Hyndburn Borough Council
Lab: 318 (34.4%) +10.5%
Ref: 275 (29.8%) -19.4%
Res: 257 (27.8%) New
Con: 74 (8.0%) -2.4%
Lab HOLD
Triggered by the death of the 76-year-old Labour incumbent, who was first elected for this ward way back in 1994. He stood down at the end of one of his terms in 2006, but returned to the same ward a year later in the 2007 local elections and remained a councillor until his death. The battle to succeed him was mired in controversy. Labour selected a partially sighted candidate, who uses a cane, which led to her being labelled a 'Stevie Wonder lookalike' by one local Reform councillor. The councillor refused to apologise for his remark and went on the offensive, unveiling a whole host of derogatory online remarks by the Labour candidate. This included slights against trans, gay and obese people. Labour suspended the candidate as a result, but not before the nomination papers had gone in. This meant that she still appeared on the ballot paper as a Labour candidate, but will enter the council house as an independent. The fact that she managed to improve Labour's vote share by double digits with no election campaign is extremely concerning, although she was aided in small part by the absence of a Green candidate (the Greens finished third last May with 234 votes). Reform won on that occasion with more than twice the number of Labour votes. However, Restore Britain's entry into this election decimated Reform's vote with a huge swing and delivered victory to what amounted to a paper candidate for the establishment.
Karl - Lab HOLD ✔
Rich - Ref GAIN ✘
Croft Baker, North East Lincolnshire Council
Ref: 797 (41.9%) -9.5%
Lab: 690 (36.3%) +16.4%
Res: 150 (7.9%) New
Con: 139 (7.3%) -0.9%
Grn: 91 (4.8%) -9.0%
Ind: 35 (1.8%) -1.1%
Ref GAIN from Lab
Triggered by the resignation of the Labour incumbent, due to an ongoing battle with cancer. Elected in 2024, she had been given special dispensation to excuse her from council meetings dating back to March 2025, on account of her cancer treatment. Reform thumped Labour in this ward back in May this year, hence Labour's vote share increased significantly on Thursday, but they did not win. Reform won all but one of the 15 seats up for grabs in North East Lincolnshire in May. Only a third of seats were up for election, but Reform's sweeping victories left them as the largest group on the council and they went on to dislodge the incumbent Tory administration and lead the council as a minority administration. The curiously named Croft Baker ward actually includes Cleethorpes town centre and promenade. There were no Lib Dem or Trade Unionist candidates on Thursday, with a Labour surge not enough to prevent Reform from taking the second of Croft Baker's three council seats.
Karl - Ref GAIN ✔
Rich - Ref GAIN ✔
Failsworth West, Oldham Metropolitan Borough Council
Ref: 642 (41.5%) -14.4%
Lab: 600 (38.8%) +21.4%
Res: 175 (11.3%) New
Grn: 60 (3.9%) -11.2%
Con: 51 (3.3%) +0.7%
LDm: 19 (1.2%) -1.6%
Ref GAIN from Ind
You may see this portrayed as a hold for Reform, but the incumbent was elected as an independent in 2024. A year later he joined Reform and went on to become their council group leader, with the party emerging from last May's elections as the second largest group behind Labour. He resigned his seat following a diagnosis for two potentially dangerous health conditions. Reform thumped Labour in this urban ward back in May this year, when a third of Oldham's council seats were up for election. Labour lost more than half the seats it was defending, plunging the council into chaos that continues to this day. Labour had led Oldham's council since 2011, including the last two years as a minority administration. However, the fairly even split between Labour and Reform following May's election led to a stalemate as to who leads the council and Oldham still has no council leader six months on. Labour would have hoped to have gained a seat on Thursday and boosted their chances of ending the council deadlock, but despite demolishing Reform's huge majority from last May, they came up short by 42 votes.
Karl - Lab GAIN ✘
Rich - Ref GAIN ✔
Cheddleton, Staffordshire Moorlands District Council
Ref: 471 (37.8%) New
Con: 327 (26.3%) -5.6%
Lab: 213 (17.1%) -10.5%
Ind: 156 (12.5%) New
Res: 55 (4.4%) New
Grn: 23 (1.8%) -11.1%
Ref GAIN from Lab
Triggered by the resignation of the Labour incumbent, who is moving to York in order to work for Labour MP Luke Charters. He was elected in 2023, taking the second of three seats in this semi-rural ward. The first and third seats went to Conservative candidates. The 2023 election was the last fought here and the first time Labour emerged as the largest party since 1995. They edged out the Conservatives by two seats and formed a minority administration, although several defections since mean they are currently two seats behind the Tories. That remains the case after Reform stunned all comers on Thursday with an impressive gain on debut. There is no indication that the Tories will try and oust the Labour administration on the back of this result, with all seats up for grabs next May anyway and the council being abolished altogether a year later. There were four independents on the Cheddleton ballot in 2023, none of whom stood on Thursday.
Karl - Lab HOLD ✘
Rich - Con GAIN ✘
Bosmere, Suffolk County Council
Con: 762 (33.2%) +13.8%
Grn: 739 (32.2%) +2.8%
Ref: 400 (17.4%) -16.0%
Res: 182 (7.9%) New
LDm: 109 (4.7%) -8.3%
Lab: 106 (4.6%) -0.1%
Con GAIN from Ref
Triggered by the resignation of the Reform incumbent after just four months in the role. He had been elected to this mostly rural ward last May, in a gain from the Conservatives. Citing both work and family commitments as reasons for his departure, he stated that his main job sometimes required him to work away from home. Standing for public office should not be taken lightly, why did he not consider these complications prior to being nominated? In any case, he presented his party with a tricky defence. Reform swept to power in Suffolk on May 7, taking outright control of a council that had been run by the Conservatives for the majority of its 52 year existence. Since then the Uniparty has been making a comeback and it continued on Thursday with an impressive Tory gain as Reform slumped to a distant third place.
Karl - Con GAIN ✔
Rich - Con GAIN ✔
Hindley Green, Wigan Metropolitan Borough Council
Lab: 1,201 (49.5%) +16.8%
Ref: 887 (36.6%) -15.8%
Ind: 124 (5.1%) New
Res: 107 (4.4%) New
Con: 56 (2.3%) -2.5%
Grn: 42 (1.7%) -5.5%
LDm: 9 (0.4%) -2.6%
Lab GAIN from Ind
Triggered by the death of the 67-year-old incumbent, whose cause of death has not been disclosed. He had been a councillor in this suburban ward since 2004, when he was initially elected as a member of the Community Action Party. This little known outfit operated purely in four council authorities in the north west of England and folded in acrimony during the 2010s. The deceased left the party in 2007 and won every single successive election since then as an independent, most recently in 2023. He was due for re-election next May, with the other two seats in this ward going to Labour in 2024 and Reform last May, when Labour were beaten comfortably. This ward sits on the eastern edge of Burnham's Makerfield constituency and his success in that Westminster by-election was repeated on Thursday with a significant swing from Reform back to Labour. If there's such a thing as a 'Burnham bounce', it can be most certainly be found in the Makerfield constituency.
Karl - Lab GAIN ✔
Rich - Ref GAIN ✘
Karl led Richey by a single point going into this week's round of the head-to-head. With a narrow victory this week he doubles his overall lead to two points.



















































