TORIES FOURTH IN NEW POLL

The latest YouGov poll suggests Keir Starmer's tough talk on migration has had little effect on his party's popularity, quite the opposite in fact.  Labour have actually dropped a percentage point, while Reform UK have gained one.  The most significant aspect of the poll is the fact that the Tories have slumped into fourth place behind the Lib Dems, garnering their lowest ever vote share in the history of the polling organisation.

The poll was carried out between the 18th and 19th of May.  Here are the changes (in brackets) against the previous YouGov poll, carried out between 11th and 12th of May.

Reform UK = 29% (+1)

Labour = 22% (-1)

Lib Dem = 17% (+1)

Conservative = 16% (-2)

Green = 10% (+1)

SNP = 2% (-1)

Plaid = 1% (n/c)

Others = 2% (-1)

Kemi Badenoch's faltering leadership is probably on borrowed time, with her defeated leadership opponent Robert Jenrick currently engaged in an aggressive social media campaign to portray himself as a hard right alternative to both Badenoch and Nigel Farage.  The problem with Jenrick is that he is no more detached from the Tory party's disastrous last term than Badenoch, and his attempt to paint himself as a real conservative now is too little, too late.

Another catastrophic performance in next May's elections could prompt a leadership challenge, but all this will achieve is to merely rearrange the deckchairs on a sinking Tory Titantic.

LABOUR'S WORST SENEDD ELECTION?

The Tories' vaccine poll surge appears to have extended to Wales with the latest YouGov poll suggesting they have closed the gap on Labour to just two points.  If repeated in May's Senedd election, Labour would suffer its worst performance since power was devolved in 1999.  It would also have to seek a significant coalition partner in order to govern effectively, rather than the handful of Lib Dems it relied on in the 2016 election.  As fellow manky socialists, Plaid Cymru would be the obvious go to choice for comrade Drakeford.

Senedd voting intention (YouGov, 16-19 March)

Lab 32% (-1)

Con 30% (+2)

Plaid 23% (+1)

LDem 5% (+1)

AWAP 3% (+3)

Reform 3% (-1)

Green 2% (-2)

Other 2% (-3)

AWAP = Abolish the Welsh Assembly Party

With regional polling thrown in, the results of the YouGov poll would give Labour just 22 seats, down eight from 2016.  The Tories would win 19 seats, up eight from 2016.  Plaid would win 14, up two, meaning Drakeford's first call after the election would be to Adam Price their leader.

A socialist coalition with a separatist agenda from the junior partner?  Disastrous for Wales.

LITTLE SYMPATHY FOR CORBYN

YouGov has conducted a lightning quick poll regarding Jeremy Corbyn's suspension from the Labour Party.  3,890 people were asked if they thought the decision was right or wrong.  58 per cent agreed with the decision, while just 13 per cent were against.  Corbyn didn't even get much support among Labour voters, who supported the decision by 41-26.  The full results can be found below.

The same people were also asked their thoughts on both Corbyn's leadership and that of Starmer.  Again Jezza came off poorly.  66 per cent thought his leadership was bad while even Labour voters only narrowly gave him a thumbs up.  More evidence that beyond the fanfare of Twitter there was never a tangible support base for the (not so) Great Leader...

To pour salt into the wounds of an already livid hard left, Starmer beats their beloved Corbyn across the board in this YouGov poll.  Even Leave voters prefer the ardent Remainer to flip flopping Corbyn...

POLLS CONTINUE TO NARROW

A misleading headline appeared on a left-wing news website over the weekend.  The London Economic reported that Labour had taken a lead in the polls, but the story actually concerned a single opinion poll and another poll released the same day showed a Tory lead.

The London Economic was referring to the latest Opinium poll in which Labour had taken a two point lead after support for the Tories dipped (see below).

Opinium poll 22-23 Oct (changes from 8-9 Oct)

Lab 40% (-)

Con 38% (-2)

LD 6% (-)

SNP 5% (-1)

Green 5% (+2)

Other 6% (-)

While some recent polls have suggested the parties are tied, only one other poll this year has shown a Labour lead - last month the same polling organisation showed a three point Labour lead.  It's probably purely coincidental that Opinium conducts its polls on behalf of The Guardian's sister newspaper - The Observer.

Deltapoll released their latest poll on the same day as Opinium's, but suggested that it was the Tories who were in the lead.

Deltapoll poll 22-24 Oct (changes from 24-25 Sept)

Con 42% (-)

Lab 39% (+1)

LD 7% (+1)

SNP 3% (-2)

Green 3% (-1)

Other 7% (+2)

It's also worth noting that Deltapoll conducts its polls on behalf of the Mail on Sunday.

YouGov's latest poll suggests a wafer thin Tory lead of one per cent.

YouGov poll 21-22 Oct (changes from 14-15 Oct)

Con 40% (+1)

Lab 39% (+1)

LD 7% (+1)

SNP 5% (-)

Green 5% (-1)

Other 6% (-1)

Redfield and Wilton's poll suggests the parties are tied.

Redfield & Wilton poll 21 Oct (changes from 6-7 Oct)

Con 40% (-1)

Lab 40% (+1)

LD 7% (-1)

SNP 5% (+1)

Green 4% (-)

Other 4% (+1)

So despite claims by The London Economic, Labour do not lead in the polls.  They lead in one poll.  However, it is clear that things have changed dramatically since the start of the pandemic.  In March the Tories were averaging 50 per cent while Labour were way behind at around 29 per cent.  Now they are almost even, and that's prior to a devastating recession.

Sample sizes for the above polls are 2,002 (Opinium), 1,589 (Deltapoll), 1,665 (YouGov) and 3,000 (Redfield & Wilton).

YOUGOV TIES LAB-CON

The latest YouGov poll for Westminster voting has the Tories and Labour tied on 40 per cent.  This is the worst YouGov poll result for the Conservatives since June 2019 when they were tied with the Brexit Party on 22 per cent.  To put Westminster opinion polls into perspective, six months after that poll the Brexit Party failed to pick up a single Westminster seat.

The latest poll suggests a five point Tory lead has been wiped out in the space of a week (see changes below).

YouGov poll 16-17 Sept (changes from 8-9 Sept)

Con 40% (-2)

Lab 40% (+3)

LD 6% (-)

Green 5% (+1)

SNP 4% (-1)

Brexit 3% (-)

Plaid 1% (-)

Other 1% (-)

Other polling organisations still have the Tories in front with slender leads.  On current trends it's likely we'll see Labour overtake the Conservatives in opinion polling in a matter of weeks.

Redfield & Wilton poll 15-16 Sept (changes from 1-2 Sept)

Con 41% (-2)

Lab 39% (+2)

LD 8% (-)

Green 5% (-)

SNP 5% (+1)

Other 3% (-)

Opinium poll 9-11 Sept (changes from 26-28 Aug)

Con 42% (+2)

Lab 39% (-1)

LD 6% (-)

Green 4% (+1)

SNP 5% (-)

Other 4% (+2)

Samples sizes were 1,618 (YouGov), 2,500 (Redfield) and 2,001 (Opinium).

TORY POLL LEAD LOWEST SINCE JULY 2019

A drop of four percentage points in a week has seen the Tory lead fall to its lowest margin since July 2019.  Even at the height of the pandemic the Tories were still enjoying a whopping poll lead of up to 26 per cent.  According to YouGov it is now 2 per cent.

The current poll was carried out 18-19 August with a sample size of 1,652.  An identical poll was carried out precisely one week earlier, where the Tory lead was put at 9 per cent.

YouGov poll 18-19 Aug (changes from 11-12 August)

Con 40% (-4%)

Lab 38% (+3%)

LD 6% (+1%)

Green 6% (+1%)

SNP 5% (-1%)

Brexit 4% (+1%)

Plaid 1% (-)

Other 1% (-)

YouGov attributes the new figures to the A-levels fiasco.  However, not for the first time their percentages don't quite add up.  This time all the party percentages add up to 101 per cent.  One of their three Westminster polls conducted last month added up to 99 per cent.  Presumably this is because the figures are rounded to the nearest whole number.

YouGov also asked those polled on who they thought would make the best PM.  Starmer has now pulled ahead by four points to 35, while Boris is level pegging with the don't knows at 31 (four per cent refused to answer - making it another puzzling 101 per cent in total).  This is promising for Sir Squeaky as his predecessor was never seen as a better potential PM than even Theresa May.  He also consistently failed to poll better than the don't knows.

While YouGov are (somehow) the big name in polling, they are by no means the only team on the field.  Redfield and Wilton Strategies carried out a poll on August 19 with a sample size of 2,000.  Compared to an identical poll they conducted on August 12 they found that there was no change in the Tory lead at all, which they estimated to be at 7 per cent.

Redfield & Wilton poll 19 Aug (changes from 12 Aug)

Con 44% (+1%)

Lab 37% (+1%)

LD 7% (-2%)

Green 4% (+1%)

SNP 4% (-)

Other 3% (-)

And yes, that only makes 99 per cent in total.  Redfield and Wilton also posed the same question about who would make the best PM.  This revealed a stark contrast with YouGov's findings.  Redfield and Wilton put Boris Johnson eight points ahead of Starmer.  However, this lead was a marked decrease on their corresponding poll from a week earlier.  On August 12 they had Boris ahead by 14 per cent.

Of course opinion polls are not necessarily a reliable source of public opinion.  They famously failed to predict the outcome of the 2015 general election, for example.  However, if this month's polling range is within the margin of error then an election tomorrow could potentially end in a hung Parliament.  Given that only nine months ago the Tories romped to victory this is an astonishing turnaround.

A lot can happen in four years, but as we enter the worst recession in living memory it could take a monumental effort to stave off that hung Parliament.

FACE MASK DAY FOR ENGLAND

They're already compulsory in Scotland and face coverings are now mandatory in shops in England too.  Northern Ireland will join in on August 1, but oddly the only part of the UK with a Labour administration has no plans to enforce masks in shops.  Mark Drakeford has been stubbornly slow to get Wales out of lockdown and the hospitality industry cannot re-open fully until August 3.  His socialist administration is keen on taking liberties and unbelievably they are looking to ban smoking outdoors if they form the next Welsh government.  While it's surprising that such left-wing control freaks have not leapt at the chance to tell people to mask up, perhaps it's more surprising to see a libertarian Prime Minister suddenly announce that shoppers in England would have to.

The move has been eminently more controversial than lockdown.  A recent YouGov poll suggests that support for mandatory masks in shops is at 80 per cent, while support for lockdown was 93 per cent.  However, the spread of the virus has been in decline for months, so the timing has raised a few eyebrows.

While the YouGov poll had a pitiful sample size - 1,600 - our recent Facebook poll on the same topic attracted 11,000 votes.  The result was much more polarised with 53 per cent in support of the move.  Was this indicative of conservative opinion or was it more reflective of a greater split in the general population?  Four months earlier our lockdown poll was almost identical to YouGov's - support at 94 per cent after 13,800 votes.  The disparity on face masks is huge.

In the days leading up to the introduction of mandatory face masks in England there does not appear to be an overwhelming enthusiasm for masks in shops.  Richey went shopping on Wednesday and found that in one store - B&Q - not one person inside that store wore a mask.  In the supermarket it was a different story, but still only around half of shoppers were masked up.  Will the other half suddenly reach for their masks come Friday?  Perhaps, but if you are unhappy and think the government is taking one too many liberties you can easily exempt yourself.

The Hidden Disabilities charity has produced an exemption card that can be obtained here.  It costs 55p + postage.  There are two exemptions handed down by the government that allow for ambiguity:

• If you have a physical or mental illness or impairment, or a disability that means you cannot put on, wear or remove a face covering
• If putting on, wearing or removing a face covering would cause you severe distress

It's doubtful many fines will be handed out to shoppers who refuse to wear masks, especially if they know about these two easy cop-outs.

LABOUR NOT TRUSTED ON ECONOMY

YouGov released a new poll on Wednesday, but the results were mixed for Boris Johnson.  The public are apparently still wise to Labour on the economy, despite Starmer's attempt to shift the party from the hard left.  Asked on who they trusted to run the economy, those polled backed the Tory government almost two to one over Starmer's Labour (see below).

However, asked on which leader they saw as more competent, Starmer has overtaken Johnson.  The same poll two months ago had Johnson well in front of Starmer, as he had been with Jeremy Corbyn.  Corbyn never overtook a Tory PM in a competence poll, even at Theresa May's lowest ebb, so this latest poll will be of some concern to the Tories.

The latest election polling from YouGov shows Labour narrowing the Tory lead to eight points compared to the previous poll carried out at the end of May.  The poll was carried out a week ago (see below).

Westminster Voting Intention (11-12 June)

Con: 45% (-)

Lab: 37% (+2)

LDem: 6% (-)

Green: 4% (-1)

Brexit: 2% (-)

Others: 6% (-1)

SKY POLL BACKFIRES

A YouGov poll commissioned by Sky News has backfired spectacularly.  The broadcaster wanted to explore various public attitudes to the pandemic, including trust.  Unfortunately for Sky and their media colleagues the poll revealed that the mass media was least trusted by far.  The NHS, Professor Chris Whitty, Boris Johnson, Sir Patrick Vallance and the Civil Service all registered positive net figures on trust, while Dominic Raab, Matt Hancock and Keir Starmer were in negative figures.  TV journalists and newspapers were far and away the most distrusted among the options provided with TV journalists registering negative figures of -40 and newspapers -55.

This is a damning indictment of the media's behaviour at this time of national crisis.  Their narrative has become increasingly negative over the past few weeks, despite the NHS holding up under the strain and despite the flattening of the curve.  Their desperation to make PPE shortages a huge story can be seen on the faces of the news presenters when they are faced with a medical guest who doesn't accept it is quite the disaster they are making it out to be.  The barrage of negative questions at the daily government briefings hasn't gone down too well either.  Why is it that these reporters persistently criticise the government for not signing up to the EU PPE procurement scheme when that same scheme has so far failed to produce a single piece of kit?

When this virus has finally been defeated, the media will not be among those to have come out of this crisis in a positive light.

The full results of the poll can be found here.

STARMER'S STUTTERING START

The latest YouGov findings show that neither coronavirus or new opposition leadership has dramatically impacted on public opinion where Westminster is concerned.  The poll was carried out at the end of last week and although Labour have cut the Tory lead by three points, Keir Starmer is clearly not inspiring the public as a leader.  He is currently trailing in third behind the 'don't knows' when it comes to who would make the best PM.

This is a poll that dogged Jeremy Corbyn throughout his leadership as he never did overtake the 'don't knows', even when he was up against Theresa May at her lowest ebb.  There is some solace here for Sir Keir as he has improved on Corbyn's figures by four points.  However, this still leaves him 24 points behind Boris Johnson.

One obstacle for Starmer appears to be a lack of recognition with the general public.  His painfully dull persona was always going to hold him back, but just compare his YouGov ratings with that of Boris Johnson.  Boris is the most popular and most famous Tory politician, whereas Starmer is the 27th most popular and 30th most famous Labour politician.

In terms of popularity Starmer trails behind dozens of Labour backbenchers, former party leaders and former MPs including Corbyn, McDonnell, Brown, Blair, both Milibands, Neil Kinnock, Dennis Skinner, Kate Hoey and Dave Lammy!  The fact that Ed Balls tops this list suggests that reality television is a powerful influence on public opinion.  It's highly doubtful that wooden Starmer would ever be that desperate, but could anyone have ever predicted that one day Labour's shadow chancellor would one day be seen prancing around in green face paint on prime-time Saturday night telly?

In terms of fame Starmer is even further down the list and is leapfrogged by the likes of Diane Abbott, Peter Mandelson and Keith Vaz.  If Starmer wasn't such a heartless monotone-voiced robot this may be disheartening to him, but then he would quite rightly say that Westminster is not a popularity contest.  It does help though, especially if you want people to vote for you.

Back to the nitty-gritty and the latest Westminster voting intention figures.  According to YouGov's latest findings the Labour Party have advanced on the Tories by a net three points, due in most part to a decline for the Lib Dems/Greens.  Remain voters switching to Labour?  This would come as no surprise seeing as Starmer was the chief architect of Labour's second referendum con.

Con: 53% (+1)

Lab: 32% (+4)

LDem: 5% (-3)

SNP: 4% (-1)

Green: 3% (-2)

Brexit: 1% (-)

Plaid: 1% (-)

Others: 1% (-)

Another interesting finding from YouGov is the government's overall approval rating.  Despite desperate attempts by both Labour and the mass media to trash the government's handling of coronavirus, the poll shows public approval of the government has increased during the pandemic.  The following poll tracker shows that public approval rose steeply last month while disapproval fell.

Not an easy task ahead of you Sir Keir!

WOKE KHAN NAILED ON FOR VICTORY

Sadiq Khan appears to be solidifying his grip on London according to the latest YouGov poll.  He's taken a whopping 25 point lead over Tory candidate Shaun Bailey, despite his inability to get a grip of crime.  He is now polling five points higher than the 44 per cent he received in the first round in 2016 and close to the 50 per cent he would require to win outright in the first round.  He's up four points from the last poll conducted in November, while the Lib Dem candidate is down by four.

To those outside looking in, this is a bizarre situation.  While the Mayor loves to show off his dedication to minority causes, his indifference to crime affects all Londoners, a point exquisitely put by George Galloway (see tweet, below).  One wonders just how lawless our capital would need to get before voters identified woke Khan as the root cause.  Perhaps they don't mind feeling unsafe and under the constant threat of crime, just so long as they're never far from a rainbow flag or a cycle lane?

CLEMENT WHO?

When YouGov conducted its most recent leadership poll of 1,005 Labour members, they asked a series of questions.  One of those questions unearthed a shocking statistic - more that one quarter of those asked said they didn't really know who Clement Attlee was.  The same question revealed that Corbyn was the most popular leader from the last century among Labour members, with Ed Miliband in second place - yes, seriously.  This is perhaps an indicator of the youthful nature of the membership, but also a marker of how extremely ignorant and bereft of knowledge they are too.  One in five appeared to know little of John Smith either, a much more recent leader and another held in high regard.

Labour members love Corbyn, hate Blair and one in four are clueless about Attlee

The hard left nature of the membership is also starkly illustrated by their attitude to Tony Blair, the only Labour leader who has an unfavourable rating.  Still, can't beat that statistic that one in four don't know anything about the man who is often cited as one of the greatest - if not the greatest - prime ministers this country has ever had.  Sad.

YOUGOV CONFOUNDS

A third opinion poll of Labour members has thrown the leadership race into further confusion.  There's still months to go in this absurdly long process, but so far the only consensus appears to be at the bookies.  They all agree that Sir Keir is odds on for the job and YouGov's latest poll concurs.

The new poll, conducted last week, has Starmer miles in front and just 4% from an outright win in the first round.  However, this contradicts Survation's poll carried out immediately prior to YouGov's.  That poll suggested a Long-Bailey lead of 5%.  The sample size was more than three times that of either YouGov poll, so who is closer to the truth?  One thing is for sure, if Jess Phillips keeps delivering hustings performances like the one she gave in Liverpool on Saturday she won't even make it to the ballot paper.

These are the three opinion polls to date, including final round run-off findings (a run-off is averted if any candidate wins more than 50% in previous rounds).

YouGov (13-15 Jan)        Survation (8-13 Jan)        YouGov (21-31 Dec)

Sample: 1,005                Sample: 3,835                 Sample: 1,059

Starmer 46%                 Long-Bailey 42%            Starmer 36%

Long-Bailey 32%           Starmer 37%                   Long-Bailey 23%

Phillips 11%                   Phillips 9%                     Phillips 12%

Nandy 7%                       Nandy 7%                       Thornberry 7%

Thornberry 3%               Thornberry 1%                Nandy 6%

Final round run-off

Starmer 63%                Long-Bailey 51%              Starmer 61%

Long-Bailey 37%           Starmer 49%                   Long-Bailey 39%

FINAL YOUGOV MRP RELEASED

YouGov has updated their 'MRP' prediction for Thursday.  You may recall that this polling method was the only one that successfully predicted the hung Parliament of 2017.  The revised findings do not look good at all and suggest that the Tories are in free-fall, albeit still in majority territory.  The new seat predictions are as follows (+/- changes against previous poll two weeks ago).

Con: 339 (-20)
Lab: 231 (+20)
SNP: 41 (-2)
Lib Dem: 15 (+2)
Plaid: 4 (-)
Green: 1 (-)

As you can see the Tory majority has supposedly halved over the last two weeks with 20 seats now predicted to remain Labour.  This is particularly worrying if it indicates movement of travel going into the last couple of days.  Most of the information for this poll was gathered over the last seven days and if a late Labour surge is still in progress then a hung Parliament is a very real prospect.

For in-depth analysis and seat by seat forecasts click here.

YOUGOV BOOST FOR BORIS

Despite Labour showing a slight recovery in opinion polls this week, a major YouGov analysis released last night suggests a comfortable 68 seat majority for the Conservatives.  The seat-by-seat analysis suggests the Tories will make most of their gains in the north of England.  There would be no seats for the Brexit Party and little advance for the Lib Dems.  Only the SNP would add any significant number of seats to their current tally.

Of course all opinion polls should be treated with great caution, as the only one that truly matters will be taken on December 12th, but it should be noted that the 'MRP model' deployed by YouGov was the only poll that correctly predicted a hung Parliament in 2017.  The seat by seat predictions can be accessed via the YouGov site here.

YOUGOV REGIONAL POLLS

Regional polling released on Friday by YouGov suggested Labour support had dropped significantly across the entire mainland in comparison to the 2017 general election result.  The Tory vote was down too, although not by near as much as Labour.  In a stark wake-up call to Corbyn and his cronies, Labour are now polling behind the Tories in Yorkshire and the north-west of England.  Let that sink in - two of the three northern Labour heartlands.  In Wales the party maintains a slender lead over the Tories of just one point.

YouGov polling suggests the Tories have overtaken Labour in two of its heartlands

Support for the main two parties has shifted directly to the Lib Dems, the Brexit Party and, to a smaller degree, the Greens.  Although the figures make dreadful reading for Jeremy Corbyn, they don't in any way guarantee a Conservative majority.  The rise in the small parties could still cause massive problems on election day.  Let's not be complacent - as we know all too well opinion polls can count for nothing when the actual poll drops.

Please note that in the graphs below the Brexit Party's polling figures are compared directly with UKIP's 2017 results.  This is down to YouGov, not us.

GRIM READING FOR LABOUR

Despite Labour's clamour for a general election the opinion polls appear to be shifting away from them again.  YouGov currently has Labour in fourth on 18%, their lowest level in history.  The Tories, despite all their recent electoral drubbings, are now out in front!  As always, take with a pinch of salt.

Westminster Voting Intention (YouGov) 2-3 July

Con:  24% (+2)

Brex:  23% (+1)

LD:  20% (+1)

Lab: 18% (-2)

Green:  9% (-1)

Of slightly more interest are the latest Ipsos MORI polling figures on leadership qualities.  The pollsters asked participants what they though of the leadership qualities of four politicians - Jeremy Corbyn, Nigel Farage, Jeremy Hunt and Boris Johnson.  Presumably they omitted the Lib Dem leadership contenders because hardly anyone knows who they are.

The findings are grim indeed for the Great Leader...

Which of these is a capable leader?

Hunt:  37%

Johnson:  33%

Farage:  32%

Corbyn:  23%

Which of these would be good in a crisis?

Hunt:  32%

Farage:  28%

Johnson:  27%

Corbyn:  19%

Which of these has sound judgement?

Hunt:  36%

Farage:  30%

Johnson:  27%

Corbyn:  21%

Which of these understands the problems facing Britain?

Farage:  42%

Johnson:  40%

Corbyn/Hunt:  39%

Which of these is out of touch with ordinary people?

Johnson:  62%

Hunt:  53%

Corbyn/Farage:  47%

Which of these has got a lot of personality?

Johnson:  79%

Farage:  61%

Corbyn:  22%

Hunt:  18%

Which of these gives me confidence for Britain's future?

Johnson:  28%

Hunt:  25%

Farage:  23%

Corbyn:  16%

Which of these are patriotic?

Johnson:  64%

Farage:  55%

Hunt:  50%

Corbyn:  39%

Which of these are more honest than most politicians?

Farage:  34%

Corbyn:  32%

Hunt:  31%

Johnson:  25%

Which of these has more style than substance?

Johnson:  54%

Farage:  46%

Hunt:  29%

Corbyn:  23%

Which of these is a good representative for Britain on the world stage?

Hunt:  41%

Johnson:  28%

Farage:  27%

Corbyn:  21%

Hunt leads in four categories, Johnson and Farage three apiece, while Corbyn leads in two.  Crucially, Corbyn comes last in seven of eleven.  However, the entire poll is undermined by the fact that 39% of those polled thought Corbyn was 'patriotic'.  The man who supports almost every single one of our enemies?  Seriously?

Take with a digger sized bucket of salt!

WE WERE AT WORK!

According to a YouGov poll conducted two weeks ago 46% of the British public supported President Trump's state visit against 40% opposing it.  Broadcaster Julia Hartley-Brewer demanded to know why Trump supporters weren't on the streets in their thousands.

This proved to be a backfire for JH-B as many were quick to point out that the demonstrations were taking place during midweek...

Yep, midweek protests are always well populated by the left.  Why?  Because the left is well populated by the workshy.

FINAL YOUGOV POLL

The final YouGov poll has been released prior to the election.  The data was collected 19-21 May and it doesn't look good for Labour (or the Tories).  The Lib Dems have now sailed past Labour while the Brexit Party is still miles ahead at the top.  Please don't think this is a done deal though.  Opinion polls are not always accurate - remember the last general election?  The only way to ensure a Leave landslide tomorrow is to get out and vote!

Final YouGov Poll For European Elections

Brexit Party - 37%
Lib Dems - 19%
Labour - 13%
Green - 12%
Conservatives - 7%
Change UK - 4%
UKIP - 3%

Graph showing how voting intentions have evolved

ANOTHER 101% FOR YOUGOV

The latest YouGov poll for the European Elections provides yet more good news for the Brexit Party and suggests a significant fall in Labour support.  Clearly the tactic of sitting on the fence and trying to be all things to everyone has backfired on Corbyn and co.  Change UK have also slumped following a dreadful week for them last week.  The Lib Dems are now out in front of the hard Remain parties and are snapping at Labour's heels.

As always, take this with a huge pinch of salt - for the second time in two weeks YouGov's figures add up to 101%.  And also why are they asking "If" there were elections?  Elections are coming!