Friday 4 March 2022

BY-ELECTIONS 03.03.22


The eighth parliamentary by-election of the current Parliament took place on Thursday in Birmingham.  Triggered by the death of Mr Harriet Harman (Jack Dromey), Labour eased to victory in a seat it has held since 1945.  Although Paulette Hamilton increased Labour's share of the vote, the party did not extend its lead over the Conservatives - the Labour majority actually dropped from 3,601 in 2019 to 3,266.  However, this could be largely attributed to the fact that just 27 per cent of voters bothered to show.

Such drastically low turnout will disappoint Labour, who threw the kitchen sink at this election.  Starmer and various other senior frontbenchers all dropped in during the campaign and activists were bussed in from as far and wide as Devon and Hampshire to Yorkshire and the north east.  Labour's candidate was hit by controversy 24 hours before polling day after GB News uncovered a speech from 2015 in which she questioned the virtues of democracy over violence.  We'll post the video over the weekend.

Only the Labour and Conservative candidates saved their deposits in this two-horse race.  Former Labour MP and long-standing far left activist Dave Nellist finished third as a candidate for the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition, beating Reform UK into fourth place.  The Lib Dems finished an embarrassing sixth.  

Birmingham Erdington

Paulette Hamilton (Lab) 9,413 (55.5%) +5.2%
Robert Alden (Con) 6,147 (36.3%) -3.8%
Dave Nellist (TUSC) 360 (2.1%) New
Jack Brookes (RefUK) 293 (1.7%) -2.4%
Siobhan Harper-Nunes (Grn) 236 (1.4%) -0.4%
Lee Dargue (LDem) 173 (1.0%) -2.7%
Michael Lutwyche (Ind) 109 (0.6%) New
Mel Mbondiah (CPA) 79 (0.5%) New
Thomas O'Rourke (Ind) 76 (0.4%) New
The Good Knight Sir NosDa (Loony) 49 (0.3%) New
Clifton Holmes (Ind) 14 (0.1%) New
David Bishop (Elvis) 8 (0.0%) New

Lab HOLD

Westminster's newest MP Paulette Hamilton (left), pictured on the campaign trail with
MP Charlotte Nichols (Warrington North)

There were also eight council by-elections on Thursday, three of which were holds for the Lib Dems who also gained a seat from the Conservatives.  The Tories held the other two seats they were defending and also gained a seat via a free-for-all in East Lindsey, Lincolnshire.

Labour gained a seat in Sunderland thanks to the continuing decline in UKIP.  The outgoing councillor had won his seat for the party, but resigned from the party last year.  UKIP managed to find a candidate to defend the seat, but he finished a distant fourth.

UKIP did not contest Neroche in Somerset this time, while there were no independents for Halton Holegate.

Halton Holegate, East Lindsey District Council

Con: 306 (66.2%) +41.5%
Lab: 156 (33.8%) +25.7

Con GAIN from Ind

Rayleigh North, Essex County Council

LDem: 1,658 (57.4%) +12.3%
Con: 929 (32.2%) -11.8%
Ind: 164 (5.7%) New
Lab: 137 (4.7%) -6.1%

LDem HOLD

Hythe West & Langdown, New Forest District Council

LDem: 559 (41.3%) -26.6%
Con: 497 (36.7%) +4.6%
Lab: 253 (18.7%) New
Ind: 44 (3.3%) New

LDem HOLD

Downhall & Rawreth, Rochford District Council

LDem: 791 (71.5%) +1.4%
Con: 265 (23.9%) +2.1%
Lab: 51 (4.6%) -3.6%

LDem HOLD

Brasted, Chevening & Sundridge, Sevenoaks District Council

Con: 820 (58.7%) +4.5%
LDem: 524 (37.5%) +1.2%
Lab: 52 (3.7%) -5.7%

Con HOLD

Southchurch, Southend-on-Sea Borough Council

Con: 1,025 (64.3%) +1.1%
Ind: 294 (18.4%) New
Lab: 144 (9.0%) -7.3%
Grn: 87 (5.5%) -2.2%
LDem: 45 (2.8%) +0.1%

Con HOLD

Neroche, South Somerset District Council

LDem: 390 (52.8%) +26.8%
Con: 315 (42.6%) -18.8%
Grn: 19 (2.6%) New
Lab: 15 (2.0%) New

LDem GAIN from Con

Redhill, Sunderland City Council

Lab: 709 (50.2%) +12.6%
LDem: 386 (27.4%) New
Con: 196 (13.9%) -0.3%
UKIP: 85 (6.0%) -34.9%
Grn: 35 (2.5%) -4.8%

Lab GAIN from UKIP

Abbreviations

Lab = Labour
Con = Conservative
TUSC = Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition
RefUK = Reform UK
Grn = Green
LDem = Liberal Democrat
CPA = Christian Peoples Alliance
Loony = Monster Raving Loony
Elvis = Church of the Militant Elvis
UKIP = UK Independence Party
Ind = Independents

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