Davies was brought down by 19% of his electorate, easily surpassing the 10% required in order to get rid of him. This wasn't quite as impressive as the 28% who signed in Peterborough, but the result is the same. We now await a by-election date.
Unlike Onasanya, Davies has indicated he wants to contest the seat again as the Tory candidate. A recalled MP can rightfully stand again in the resulting by-election, but the Tories would be mad to re-select him after such a strong turnout against him.
2017 General Election result
Christopher Davies (Con) 20,081
James Gibson-Watt (Lib-Dem) 12,043
Dan Lodge (Lab) 7,335
Kate Heneghan (Plaid) 1,299
Peter Gilbert (UKIP) 576
In the 2016 EU referendum Brecon & Radnorshire returned a 52% Leave vote. The Brexit Party has not yet indicated it will stand. To do so will almost certainly gift the seat to the Lib Dems and this would replace a Leave vote in the Commons with yet another Remainer. Davies was a member of the pro-Brexit ERG (European Research Group). Pro-Remain Plaid Cymru have already suggested it may not contest the seat in order to boost the pro-Remain Lib Dems. The bookies have the Lib Dems as 'odds-on' to win the seat, but then they had the Brexit Party as 'odds-on' in Peterborough. Take note Labour - there aren't many Muslim postal votes to be had here!
|The position of Brecon & Radnorshire in Wales|