Tuesday 24 December 2019


Prior to the general election we focused on eight UK cities as part of our 'In Focus' weekly feature.  We included an election prediction for each of the 44 constituencies within those cities.  We are quite proud to announce we only got two wrong.  Of course it's relatively easy to predict most holds as they are generally safe seats, it's seat changes that are more difficult to forecast.  We said five seats would change hands and we got three of those correct.

First of all the ones we got correct...

Birmingham Edgbaston (Lab HOLD)
Birmingham Hall Green (Lab HOLD)
Birmingham Hodge Hill (Lab HOLD)
Birmingham Ladywood (Lab HOLD)
Birmingham Northfield (Con GAIN)
Birmingham Perry Barr (Lab HOLD)
Birmingham Selly Oak (Lab HOLD)
Birmingham Yardley (Lab HOLD)
Sutton Coldfield (Con HOLD)
Blackley & Broughton (Lab HOLD)
Manchester Central (Lab HOLD)
Manchester Gorton (Lab HOLD)
Manchester Withington (Lab HOLD)
Wythenshawe & Sale East (Lab HOLD)
Glasgow Central (SNP HOLD)
Glasgow East (SNP HOLD)
Glasgow North (SNP HOLD)
Glasgow North East (SNP GAIN)
Glasgow North West (SNP HOLD)
Glasgow South (SNP HOLD)
Glasgow South West (SNP HOLD)
Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough (Lab HOLD)
Sheffield Central (Lab HOLD)
Sheffield Heeley (Lab HOLD)
Sheffield South East (Lab HOLD)
Penistone & Stocksbridge (Con GAIN)
Liverpool Riverside (Lab HOLD)
Liverpool Walton (Lab HOLD)
Liverpool Wavertree (Lab HOLD)
Liverpool West Derby (Lab HOLD)
Garston & Halewood (Lab HOLD)
Bristol East (Lab HOLD)
Bristol North West (Lab HOLD)
Bristol South (Lab HOLD)
Bristol West (Lab HOLD)
Cardiff Central (Lab HOLD)
Cardiff North (Lab HOLD)
Cardiff South & Penarth (Lab HOLD)
Cardiff West (Lab HOLD)
Romsey & Southampton North (Con HOLD)
Southampton Itchen (Con HOLD)
Southampton Test (Lab HOLD)

And the ones we got wrong...

Birmingham Erdington (Lab HOLD) - we said this would be a Con GAIN
Sheffield Hallam (Lab HOLD) - we said this would be a Lib Dem GAIN

In Focus should return at some point in the New Year.